Hurricane Micheal

[TJC44]

The tropics aren't done yet!
Micheal is forecast to have 120 knot winds by the time it makes landfall in the FLA panhandle.

5596

[hawgrider]

Arrrg! I'm tired of this wet crappy ass weather.

[Gambit]

just think
this storm is still smaller then the chin of micheal "fat storm" moore

also trump is going to get blamed for this one as well

[TJC44]

Jim Cantore gets ‘trespass warning’ from Florida sheriff

You know when Jim Cantore shows up, the weather is going to be bad. But one Florida county is rolling up the welcome mat for the Weather Channel reporter.
The sheriff of Santa Rosa County has issued a "trespass warning" on Facebook, telling the television personality to stay away, the Pensacola News Journal reported.
The "warning" says Cantore is a person of interest and should only make "non-business related visits" during the winter months.
According to the post, "Everyone knows what’s in store when Jim Cantore shows up. So we issued a little notice."
But the "warning" was all in jest, with a message to Cantore that says, "This is not a real trespass. We like Jim, just not under these conditions," the News Journal reported.

[TJC44]

5602


000
WTNT44 KNHC 090857
TCDAT4

Hurricane Michael Discussion Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
400 AM CDT Tue Oct 09 2018

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft a few
hours ago indicate that Michael's strengthening has paused, with
the maximum winds near 80 kt and a central pressure near 973 mb.
The aircraft also reported that the eyewall had become less
organized, which may be due to some dry air entrainment and shear.
The latest satellite imagery shows the convective banding becoming
better defined, and the next aircraft will shortly arrive in the
hurricane to provide better information on whether intensification
has resumed.

The initial motion is now 345/10. There is little change in either
the forecast philosophy from the previous advisory, as Michael
expected to remain caught between a deep-layer ridge centered off of
the U.S. east coast and a highly amplitude mid-latitude trough over
the U.S. Plains states and northern Mexico. This pattern should
steer the hurricane north-northwestward to northward for the next 24
h or so, followed by a turn to the northeast as Michael recurves
into the westerlies. Only minor tweaks have been made to the
previous forecast track, with Michael expected to make landfall in
the Florida Panhandle on Wednesday and cross the southeastern United
States Wednesday night and Thursday.

The large-scale models continue to forecast a decrease in the shear
later today, and thus Michael is forecast to intensify further
before landfall. The new intensity forecast follows the previous
forecast in showing Michael as a category 3 hurricane at landfall.
The cyclone should weaken significantly as it crosses the
southeastern United States, then it should re-intensify over the
western Atlantic as it undergoes extratropical transition between
72-96 h.

It should be noted that the location and magnitude of peak storm
surge flooding is very sensitive to small changes in the track,
intensity, and structure of the hurricane. Since there is still
uncertainty in all of these parameters, the official NHC storm surge
forecast and watch/warning areas includes various plausible
scenarios. Regardless of the eventual track and intensity of
Michael, life-threatening storm surge inundation is expected along
portions of the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend/Nature Coast, and the
storm surge watch has been upgraded to a storm surge warning for
parts of this area.

The NOAA G-IV aircraft is currently conducting a synoptic
surveillance mission over the Gulf of Mexico and dropsondes from
that mission will be assimilated into the 1200 UTC numerical models
runs.

Key Messages:

1. Life-threatening storm surge is likely along portions of the
coasts of the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend, and Nature Coast, and a
storm surge warning is in effect for these areas. Residents in these
areas should follow all advice given by their local officials.

2. A hurricane warning has been issued for portions of the Florida
Gulf Coast, and everyone in these areas should prepare for
life-threatening winds associated with the core of Michael.
Damaging winds will also extend inland across portions of the
Florida Panhandle, southern Georgia, and southeast Alabama as
Michael moves inland.

3. Heavy rainfall from Michael could produce life-threatening flash
flooding from the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend region into
portions of Georgia and South Carolina.

4. Tropical storm conditions will continue in portions of western
Cuba for a few more hours.

5. Michael is expected to produce heavy rainfall and flash flooding
over portions of western Cuba during the next day or so.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 09/0900Z 24.1N 85.9W 80 KT 90 MPH
12H 09/1800Z 25.7N 86.3W 90 KT 105 MPH
24H 10/0600Z 27.9N 86.4W 100 KT 115 MPH
36H 10/1800Z 29.9N 85.6W 105 KT 120 MPH
48H 11/0600Z 32.3N 83.4W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
72H 12/0600Z 36.5N 75.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...OVER WATER
96H 13/0600Z 42.5N 60.5W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 14/0600Z 49.0N 40.5W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

[BucketBack]

So gas will go up again

[MountainGirl]

I think thats Slippy's neck of the woods. Stay safe, sir.

[TJC44]

Sparkyprep, RPD, Rwalls:
Stay safe!
And anyone else down there!

Wait a second! Where is the server for the OTP??? :shocked:

[MI.oldguy]

Whoever is in the path of that demon....GODSPEED to you.

[hawgrider]

Sparkyprep, RPD, Rwalls:
Stay safe!
And anyone else down there!

Wait a second! Where is the server for the OTP??? :shocked:




here-



Homepage Universe, Inc.
2829 N. Glenoaks Blvd. Suite 101
Burbank, CA 91504
(Data Centers)
Kansas City, Missouri
Los Angeles, CA

[Slippy]

We are fine and out of the path of the storm. Cat 4 Storms are no joke.

Prayers for the Linemen who will help restore power. Son2's crew is on standby.

[TJC44]

here-






Homepage Universe, Inc.
2829 N. Glenoaks Blvd. Suite 101
Burbank, CA 91504
(Data Centers)
Kansas City, Missouri
Los Angeles, CA

Oh, yeah, it's safe there!
:ughh:

[Sparkyprep]

Haven’t even got a drop of rain. Missed us completely. Prayers to those in the panhandle.

[BucketBack]

Raining like 2 mofo's here. Barn roof is leaking , almost shorted out my second stereo in 2 days.

[Sparkyprep]

Anyone heard from RWalls.

[Sparkyprep]

We are fine and out of the path of the storm. Cat 4 Storms are no joke.

Prayers for the Linemen who will help restore power. Son2's crew is on standby.

We have already dispatched 200 trucks and crews to the area. Could be MONTHS before power is fully restored.

[Inor]

Haven’t even got a drop of rain. Missed us completely. Prayers to those in the panhandle.

I was wondering about that. It looked like some of the outer rain bands might get you. I am glad it missed you.

RWalls is in Atlanta. I think this one is going south and east of Atlanta. It looks like RPD will miss all the fun too. But it looks like those poor bastards at Ft Gordon are going to take a direct hit. At least they have plenty of new recruits to fill and stack sandbags.

[Slippy]

Son2 was given his orders today; pack for 10 days and get your crew/trucks down toward the Panhandle. He departs 4 am Thursday.

[Inor]

Son2 was given his orders today; pack for 10 days and get your crew/trucks down toward the Panhandle. He departs 4 am Thursday.

My prayers are with Cam19. (I hope I guessed the right son...) :biglaugh:

[shootbrownelk]

Arrrg! I'm tired of this wet crappy ass weather.

Hey Hawg, it's snowing again here in Wyoming and it's 28 degrees. It's rather have wet than freezing wet. Dammit. And I can't go Elk hunting. God must hate me or something.

[hawgrider]

Hey Hawg, it's snowing again here in Wyoming and it's 28 degrees. It's rather have wet than freezing wet. Dammit. And I can't go Elk hunting. God must hate me or something.

Snow already.. ugh! The no hunt tag blows that ain't right!

[Slippy]

My prayers are with Cam19. (I hope I guessed the right son...) :biglaugh:

Yes Sir. Your prayers are most welcome.

Cam19 says Hey!

[hawgrider]

Anyone heard from RWalls.

He was here yesterday- 10-10-2018

[Slippy]

UPDATE from the Linemen restoring power;

Son2 has been in South Georgia and is expected to be there for a number of days. His orders have him returning to North Georgia then coming back to the devastated areas after a few nights rest. This may go on for a few months.

Friday night after a 12 hour day, Son2's crew went to an Applebees in S. Georgia and one man, an elderly white man stood up and said a prayer for the lineman and then proceeded to pay for their dinner and drinks.

Two days later, after sweating and working their asses off for 24 hours, Son2's crew headed to another restaurant to eat and unwind...A number of black women saw them in their Georgia Power Uniforms and proceeded to take pictures of them and taunted them for not getting their power up and running that day. The management of the restaurant called the cops and the black gals left before the LEO's got there.

A sign of the times.

Freakin' ridiculous.

[BucketBack]

I wants my lights

[BucketBack]

That shat is real down there though

[hawgrider]

Yup its the you owe us spodas. Shameful but not suprising.
Lineman are hero's every day of the year!