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Thread: Hurricane Micheal

  1. #1
    Super Moderator TJC44's Avatar
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    Hurricane Micheal

    The tropics aren't done yet!
    Micheal is forecast to have 120 knot winds by the time it makes landfall in the FLA panhandle.

    Click image for larger version. 

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    BAH FUCKING HUMBUG!

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  3. #2
    Arrrg! I'm tired of this wet crappy ass weather.
    "The clever cat eats cheese and breathes down rat holes with baited breath." W. C. Fields

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  5. #3
    Don't get too close, I bite! Gambit's Avatar
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    just think
    this storm is still smaller then the chin of micheal "fat storm" moore

    also trump is going to get blamed for this one as well
    It happened before, it can happen again.
    It happened there, it can happen here.
    It happened to that person, it can happen to you.
    No one is immune to the trials and tribulations of life.

    I'm not allowed at the Zoo anymore...

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    Super Moderator TJC44's Avatar
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    Jim Cantore gets ‘trespass warning’ from Florida sheriff
    You know when Jim Cantore shows up, the weather is going to be bad. But one Florida county is rolling up the welcome mat for the Weather Channel reporter.
    The sheriff of Santa Rosa County has issued a "trespass warning" on Facebook, telling the television personality to stay away, the Pensacola News Journal reported.
    The "warning" says Cantore is a person of interest and should only make "non-business related visits" during the winter months.
    According to the post, "Everyone knows what’s in store when Jim Cantore shows up. So we issued a little notice."
    But the "warning" was all in jest, with a message to Cantore that says, "This is not a real trespass. We like Jim, just not under these conditions," the News Journal reported.
    BAH FUCKING HUMBUG!

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  9. #5
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    Click image for larger version. 

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    000
    WTNT44 KNHC 090857
    TCDAT4

    Hurricane Michael Discussion Number 11
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
    400 AM CDT Tue Oct 09 2018

    Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft a few
    hours ago indicate that Michael's strengthening has paused, with
    the maximum winds near 80 kt and a central pressure near 973 mb.
    The aircraft also reported that the eyewall had become less
    organized, which may be due to some dry air entrainment and shear.
    The latest satellite imagery shows the convective banding becoming
    better defined, and the next aircraft will shortly arrive in the
    hurricane to provide better information on whether intensification
    has resumed.

    The initial motion is now 345/10. There is little change in either
    the forecast philosophy from the previous advisory, as Michael
    expected to remain caught between a deep-layer ridge centered off of
    the U.S. east coast and a highly amplitude mid-latitude trough over
    the U.S. Plains states and northern Mexico. This pattern should
    steer the hurricane north-northwestward to northward for the next 24
    h or so, followed by a turn to the northeast as Michael recurves
    into the westerlies. Only minor tweaks have been made to the
    previous forecast track, with Michael expected to make landfall in
    the Florida Panhandle on Wednesday and cross the southeastern United
    States Wednesday night and Thursday.

    The large-scale models continue to forecast a decrease in the shear
    later today, and thus Michael is forecast to intensify further
    before landfall. The new intensity forecast follows the previous
    forecast in showing Michael as a category 3 hurricane at landfall.
    The cyclone should weaken significantly as it crosses the
    southeastern United States, then it should re-intensify over the
    western Atlantic as it undergoes extratropical transition between
    72-96 h.

    It should be noted that the location and magnitude of peak storm
    surge flooding is very sensitive to small changes in the track,
    intensity, and structure of the hurricane. Since there is still
    uncertainty in all of these parameters, the official NHC storm surge
    forecast and watch/warning areas includes various plausible
    scenarios. Regardless of the eventual track and intensity of
    Michael, life-threatening storm surge inundation is expected along
    portions of the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend/Nature Coast, and the
    storm surge watch has been upgraded to a storm surge warning for
    parts of this area.

    The NOAA G-IV aircraft is currently conducting a synoptic
    surveillance mission over the Gulf of Mexico and dropsondes from
    that mission will be assimilated into the 1200 UTC numerical models
    runs.

    Key Messages:

    1. Life-threatening storm surge is likely along portions of the
    coasts of the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend, and Nature Coast, and a
    storm surge warning is in effect for these areas. Residents in these
    areas should follow all advice given by their local officials.

    2. A hurricane warning has been issued for portions of the Florida
    Gulf Coast, and everyone in these areas should prepare for
    life-threatening winds associated with the core of Michael.
    Damaging winds will also extend inland across portions of the
    Florida Panhandle, southern Georgia, and southeast Alabama as
    Michael moves inland.

    3. Heavy rainfall from Michael could produce life-threatening flash
    flooding from the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend region into
    portions of Georgia and South Carolina.

    4. Tropical storm conditions will continue in portions of western
    Cuba for a few more hours.

    5. Michael is expected to produce heavy rainfall and flash flooding
    over portions of western Cuba during the next day or so.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 09/0900Z 24.1N 85.9W 80 KT 90 MPH
    12H 09/1800Z 25.7N 86.3W 90 KT 105 MPH
    24H 10/0600Z 27.9N 86.4W 100 KT 115 MPH
    36H 10/1800Z 29.9N 85.6W 105 KT 120 MPH
    48H 11/0600Z 32.3N 83.4W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
    72H 12/0600Z 36.5N 75.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...OVER WATER
    96H 13/0600Z 42.5N 60.5W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    120H 14/0600Z 49.0N 40.5W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    BAH FUCKING HUMBUG!

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    VIP Member! BucketBack's Avatar
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    So gas will go up again
    Keep Your Head Up, And your Stick On The Ice.

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    I think thats Slippy's neck of the woods. Stay safe, sir.

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    Super Moderator TJC44's Avatar
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    Sparkyprep, RPD, Rwalls:
    Stay safe!
    And anyone else down there!

    Wait a second! Where is the server for the OTP???
    Last edited by TJC44; 10-09-2018 at 07:41 PM.
    BAH FUCKING HUMBUG!

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  17. #9
    Zealot MI.oldguy's Avatar
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    Whoever is in the path of that demon....GODSPEED to you.

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  19. #10
    Quote Originally Posted by TJC44 View Post
    Sparkyprep, RPD, Rwalls:
    Stay safe!
    And anyone else down there!

    Wait a second! Where is the server for the OTP???



    here-


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    "The clever cat eats cheese and breathes down rat holes with baited breath." W. C. Fields

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